Over the last four years, Ghana’s foreign direct investment inflows have varied, slowed by worries about the country’s debt load and macroeconomic stability. However, it is anticipated that investor confidence and FDI inflows will increase as the new administration proceeds with reforms.
Ghana’s growing reputation as a West African investment powerhouse, combined with its track record of political stability and business-friendly regulations, helps draw in foreign capital. The industries that demand attention include financial services, tourism, infrastructure, mining, oil and gas, agriculture and agro-processing, particularly cocoa, and information and communications technology.
China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Ireland are among the larger economies with businesses operating in Ghana. Procter & Gamble, Volkswagen, Toyota, and Sinotruk are among the more well-known brands. International telecom providers include Vodafone, AirtelTigo, Huawei Technologies, and MTN of South Africa.
Incoming mining operators include Newmont Ghana Gold Ltd, Gold Fields Ghana Ltd, and Anglogold Ashanti Ghana Ltd., while foreign companies seeking to increase production are also entering Ghana’s relatively new oil industry. These companies include Tullow Oil, Kosmos Energy, and Italy’s ENI.
Despite growing interest, Ghana’s annual FDI has fluctuated due to macroeconomic uncertainty, culminating in a debt crisis in 2022.
According to Macrotrends, an investor research platform, FDI inflows into Ghana increased by 35% to $2.5 billion in 2021. However, inflows fell to $1.3 billion in 2023, a 7.6% decrease from 2022.
Stabilisation successful
When Ghana and the International Monetary Fund finalised a loan support agreement in May 2023, it might have marked the start of a new era. The stabilisation was further reinforced by the presidential election in December 2024.
In a December 2024 report, the IMF stated, “The capital and financial account is expected to gradually improve over the coming five years, with FDI projected to increase to 3% of GDP by 2028 following the completion of the debt restructuring and gradual reform implementation.”
Recently, fund representatives visited Accra to evaluate Ghana’s economic performance and structural changes under the stabilisation plan.
In his March 2025 budget speech, Minister of Finance Cassiel Ato Forson said, “The commitment to continue implementing the ongoing IMF-supported programme and reforms to forge macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability will restore investor confidence, resulting in further improvement in FDI flows.”
According to Ghana’s Exemption Act of 2022, manufacturing, minerals and mineral processing, mining by Ghanaian indigenous people, oil and gas (value addition), real estate (property development and road infrastructure), pharmaceuticals, agro-processing, and tourism are among the priority investment sectors that will benefit from investor tax incentives.
Politically speaking, Marcel Okeke, a former Senior Economist at Zenith Bank, Nigeria’s top lender, argues that Ghana’s peaceful election in December means that democracy has come to stay.”
John Dramani Mahama, a former president, was chosen by Ghanaians to succeed President Nana Akufo-Addo. There was no demand for court intervention during the changes in government and political party, which suggests that a time of stability may be on the horizon.
There have been some benefits from the financing arrangement with the IMF. A bigger trade surplus and more IMF borrowing were the main drivers of Ghana’s modest gains in external reserves, which grew to $8.8 billion in 2024 from about $6 billion the year before.
Notwithstanding these encouraging indications, difficulties still exist. Although the increase in reserves is a good thing, Ghana still owes $28.3 billion in external debt, which includes a portion of eurobonds whose payments have had to be postponed. In 2027, more than half of the $8.7 billion in foreign debt service is due.
“We will fix it,” Forson said, adding that “these humps are cancerous and pose a significant risk to the economy.”
With only $8.8 billion in total reserves, Ghana’s central bank might run out of money in roughly three and a half months because it owes the IMF about $2.5 billion, or nearly 30% of its reserves.
Emeka Ucheaga, head of Research and Business Intelligence at Credit Direct, a financial company based in Lagos, said, “The reserves are too low to offer tangible protection to investors in the event of external shocks.”
Ucheaga cautions that despite the economy’s improved GDP growth in the second and third quarters of last year, macroeconomic fundamentals are still precarious. Rising inflation is eroding investor profits and purchasing power. According to official data, the rate barely decreased to 23.1% in February 2025 from 23.8% in December 2024. After a brief upswing toward the close of 2024, the Ghanaian cedi has since reverted, falling 5.3% in the first quarter.
Cautious optimism post-crisis
Foreign investors and analysts have reacted to Ghana’s post-crisis landscape with a mix of caution and guarded optimism. In mid-2023, as Ghana grappled with debt restructuring, Fitch Solutions warned that uncertainty and a sharply devalued cedi would “keep foreign investors cautious,” noting that sentiment remained weak and FDI inflows were unlikely to return to pre-pandemic levels immediately.
Memories of the 2022 default still loom large, and investors have been awaiting clear signs of stabilisation.
Emeka Ucheaga, head of research at a Lagos-based finance firm, argues that Ghana must “demonstrate a sustained commitment to economic stability,” from taming inflation to building reserves from non-debt sources, before confidence truly returns.
That said, there are growing rays of optimism. The International Monetary Fund’s support programme, secured in 2023, and the successful presidential election in 2024 have improved the outlook.
“Over the coming five years, the capital and financial account is expected to gradually improve,” the IMF observed in late 2024, projecting FDI to rise to 3% of GDP by 2028 once debt restructuring and reforms are complete.
Ghana’s officials echo this optimism: “Commitment to…reforms to forge macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability will restore investor confidence, resulting in further improvement in FDI flows,” Finance Minister Cassiel Ato Forson affirmed in the 2025 budget speech.
Some regional analysts are bullish on Ghana’s prospects given its stability. Marcel Okeke, a former chief economist at Zenith Bank, points out that, unlike some neighbours plagued by insecurity, “We do not hear about [terrorism] in Ghana… Investors look for a place to put their money and go to sleep. That is why investors will want to put their money into Ghana.”
In short, while scepticism remains until reforms bear fruit, many see Ghana turning the corner, provided it stays the course on prudent policies.
Stacking up against regional peers
Ghana’s bid to attract FDI cannot be viewed in isolation. It competes with regional peers like Kenya, Cote d’Ivoire, and Nigeria, which each offer a different mix of opportunities and risks.
In 2023, Ghana drew about $1.35 billion in FDI inflows, a respectable sum, but slightly behind Cote d’Ivoire (around $1.75 billion) and Kenya (about $1.5 billion).
Notably, Ghana far outpaced Nigeria, which saw FDI plummet to just $377 million amid its own economic challenges. These numbers tell a story. While Ghana remains one of West Africa’s top FDI destinations, accounting for roughly 20% of the region’s FDI stock, it has lost some momentum to rivals.
Cote d’Ivoire has emerged as a standout, steadily growing its FDI even through global turbulence. The Ivorian economy, buoyed by annual growth above 5%, attracted more investment in 2022 and 2023 than it did pre-pandemic. Abidjan’s government has implemented pro-business reforms, such as digitising administrative procedures and a major development plan. These changes, combined with political stability, make it a favourable destination for foreign investors.
The result is diversified inflows spanning industry (over 50% of FDI), services, and agriculture, with investors from Europe, Asia, and the region. Even neighbouring Burkina Faso was a top source.
Kenya, for its part, leverages its status as East Africa’s commercial hub. Nairobi hosts numerous regional headquarters for multinationals and has nurtured a dynamic tech sector. These factors helped Kenya remain among Africa’s largest FDI recipients.
Even though FDI to Kenya dipped 5.8% in 2023, totalling $1.5 billion, the country’s appeal lies in its relatively diversified economy and investor-friendly climate. Over nearly two decades, Kenya climbed global rankings for ease of doing business thanks to regulatory improvements. These changes have made it attractive for manufacturing and service offshoring projects.
Nigeria presents a more cautionary tale. Africa’s biggest economy has an unquestionable market size and oil wealth, yet chronic issues have driven foreign investors away.
In 2023, Nigeria’s FDI inflow was not only a fraction of Ghana’s, but it fell by 19% to $377 million, an extraordinarily low figure relative to Nigeria’s GDP.
Capital flight from Nigeria stemmed from political uncertainty, high operating costs, and an unfavourable business climate that saw major multinationals in oil and telecoms curtailing or divesting investments. However, late-2023 policy shifts under a new administration, including removing fuel subsidies and liberalising the exchange rate, have started to restore some confidence. This was evidenced by a modest uptick in capital inflows in Q4 2023. If Nigeria follows through on reforms, such as tackling forex shortages and security issues, it could regain ground. For now, Ghana holds an edge in stability and predictability.
The comparison reveals Ghana’s relative strengths and areas for improvement. Unlike Nigeria, Ghana has maintained peace and a smoother regulatory environment, and unlike smaller peers, it boasts a sizeable consumer base and abundant natural resources.
Yet, Kenya and Cote d’Ivoire have been more aggressive in reforms and infrastructure investment, which enhances their FDI appeal. Ghana still ranks behind Kenya on some competitiveness measures and has recently been leapfrogged by the Ivory Coast in annual FDI.
Ghana’s FDI numbers
Digging into the data reveals where Ghana’s FDI is coming from, and where it is not. According to the Ghana Investment Promotion Centre (GIPC), FDI project commitments in 2023 totalled $649.6 million, spread across 122 projects.
The figure based on GIPC-registered projects was barely half of the previous year’s, mirroring the sharp drop in actual inflows recorded in the balance of payments.
The investments Ghana did secure in 2023 were concentrated in a few key sectors. Manufacturing led the pack, accounting for about $280 million, which was the single largest FDI value by sector. Close behind were services, which drew roughly $226 million, reflecting investor interest in Ghana’s financial services, telecom, and hospitality segments.
Retail and trading activities also saw some investment ($75 million), while sectors like agriculture and construction made up smaller portions of the pie. This sectoral breakdown aligns with Ghana’s traditional strengths: processing of resources (cocoa, gold, etc.), consumer goods manufacturing, and a growing services economy. Oil and mining, often major FDI magnets, were not explicitly broken out in the GIPC figures, likely because much of the recent activity there involves reinvestment by established players rather than new inflows.
Another way to analyse the FDI is by source and structure. Ghana has long welcomed investors from around the globe. By 2023, the stock of FDI in the country had swelled to $47.3 billion, with multinationals from South Africa, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands, France, Mauritius, and China among the top contributors over time.
Recent project data, however, show a shifting mix of countries driving new investments. In 2023, China was the standout, responsible for the largest portion of new FDI, about $212 million across 31 projects. This likely reflects Chinese firms increasing their footprint in Ghana’s resource and industrial sectors.
Surprisingly, Turkey contributed a substantial $173 million through only four projects, suggesting that a few large Turkish ventures, possibly in construction or manufacturing, made a significant impact. Other notable sources included India ($78 million), traditional partners like the United States ($26 million) and the Netherlands ($22 million).
The dominance of China, which provided one-third of 2023’s FDI value, underscores Ghana’s pivot toward Asian capital. Meanwhile, relatively smaller contributions from Western investors indicate that there is room to rebuild confidence among US and European firms in the post-crisis period.
In terms of investment type, Ghana’s FDI inflows are primarily equity-based. This includes mainly greenfield projects and business expansions, rather than debt-financed deals. For instance, in 2022, Ghana recorded 39 new greenfield projects valued at approximately $1.33 billion, which aligns with the total FDI inflow for that year. This indicates that foreign companies are focused on establishing or expanding their businesses locally, rather than acquiring stakes in or lending to local firms.
By contrast, portfolio investment and loans experienced major volatility during the debt saga. The joint venture model is also significant. In 2023, around 32 out of 122 FDI projects were joint ventures between foreign and local partners, with the remainder wholly foreign-owned. These joint ventures not only bring in capital but also involve Ghanaian stakeholders, which can promote local employment and facilitate knowledge transfer.
Overall, the data depict an FDI profile in transition. While overall volumes have declined, the manufacturing and service sectors have remained resilient. Meanwhile, newer investors like China and Turkey play a more prominent role. Encouragingly, early 2024 showed signs of a rebound. Ghana’s central bank reported net FDI of $1.74 billion for the year, up 32.7% from 2023.
In late 2023, the macroeconomic stability improved, and investor funds began returning. However, reaching the pre-crisis high of over $2.5 billion in 2021 will require sustained investor confidence, underpinned by structural reforms and perhaps a few landmark investments.
The government’s targeted sectors for incentives, including manufacturing, mining value-addition, agriculture and agribusiness, infrastructure, and tourism, highlight where it hopes the next wave of FDI will land. The challenge will ensure that future FDI flows align with these priorities and that policy consistency sustains momentum.
A positive view
Ucheaga said, “When combined, these indicators show a country still in the early stages of stabilisation rather than in a phase of renewed investor confidence. This ongoing uncertainty is reflected in the fluctuations in FDI inflows.”
He argues that investor sentiment continues to be influenced by memories of Ghana’s December 2022 debt default, as well as a broader global economic environment marked by rising protectionism and the looming threat of a global trade war, even in the face of improved trade data and IMF backing.
Ucheaga emphasises that Ghana must show a consistent commitment to economic stability to reverse this trend. That involves steadily increasing foreign reserves through reliable, non-debt-driven sources, maintaining a trade surplus, and continually expanding the real economy.
He also stresses that to preserve the value of investments, inflation must be under control and the exchange rate must be stabilised. The government has outlined targets for economic growth, including a non-oil GDP expansion of 4.8%, an overall real GDP growth of at least 4%, and an inflation rate aimed at reaching 11.9% by the end of the year.